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2017-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 64.2% 35.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 62.2% 37.8% - โœ“
Margin 56.6% 43.4% -1.5 โœ“ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 54.8% 45.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 63.2% 36.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 63.2% 36.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.4% 46.6% - โœ“

Actual: Sacramento Kings -8 (122-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 42 13-24 5-9 7-7 10 3 1 1 2 38 27 -
John Wall * 40 11-25 1-4 2-2 4 12 2 0 2 25 16 -
Otto Porter Jr. * 39 7-11 2-3 2-2 6 2 2 1 0 18 18 -
Markieff Morris * 25 4-9 0-1 2-2 6 2 0 0 0 10 9 -
Marcin Gortat * 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 0 2 9 -
Bojan Bogdanovic 30 7-16 0-5 3-4 2 1 1 0 1 17 4 -
Jason Smith 24 4-4 1-1 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 9 14 -
Ian Mahinmi 22 4-5 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 2 3 9 11 -
Brandon Jennings 13 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 6 0 0 1 0 2 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Willie Cauley-Stein * 42 7-12 0-0 6-8 13 3 1 0 2 20 23 -
Buddy Hield * 36 7-16 4-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 18 5 -
Arron Afflalo * 34 6-10 2-3 4-5 3 1 0 0 0 18 12 -
Darren Collison * 32 5-12 0-3 4-5 2 10 0 0 1 14 13 -
Kosta Koufos * 20 4-11 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 8 6 -
Garrett Temple 30 2-6 2-2 1-2 0 5 0 0 0 7 6 -
Ty Lawson 19 2-5 0-1 4-4 0 6 2 0 2 8 9 -
Anthony Tolliver 17 4-5 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
Ben McLemore 16 3-9 2-4 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 11 6 -
Skal Labissiere 14 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 8 6 -

* = starter