Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -8 (106-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 10-17 | 3-3 | 9-12 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 29 | - |
| Cory Joseph * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 32 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 27 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Norman Powell | 25 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| P.J. Tucker | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Delon Wright | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 38 | 9-24 | 4-8 | 8-10 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 24 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 37 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 35 | 10-21 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Bojan Bogdanovic | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Jennings | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tomas Satoransky | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter