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2017-01-31

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 15.1% 84.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.3% 76.7% - โœ“
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 โœ“ (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.1% 69.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.1% 69.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Wizards +16 (117-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Jennings * 37 5-16 2-6 9-11 5 2 4 0 4 21 12 -
Carmelo Anthony * 31 10-17 1-3 5-5 5 0 0 0 1 26 13 -
Willy Hernangomez * 31 5-12 0-0 5-5 14 4 0 0 1 15 20 -
Courtney Lee * 27 2-10 1-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 5 0 -
Joakim Noah * 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 0 3 -
Ron Baker 27 2-6 0-1 1-3 2 2 1 0 0 5 4 -
Justin Holiday 19 1-9 0-4 3-4 2 3 0 0 1 5 0 -
Kyle O'Quinn 17 6-10 0-0 1-1 10 1 0 2 1 13 15 -
Mindaugas Kuzminskas 14 0-5 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 -2 -
Maurice Ndour 8 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
Marshall Plumlee 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Sasha Vujacic 4 0-2 0-1 3-4 0 3 2 0 0 3 6 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Markieff Morris * 34 9-14 2-5 4-4 10 2 0 0 2 24 20 -
John Wall * 33 6-18 1-2 2-3 4 13 0 0 2 15 12 -
Bradley Beal * 31 12-18 2-6 2-2 2 4 1 0 3 28 14 -
Marcin Gortat * 30 7-7 0-0 1-1 10 2 1 1 1 15 21 -
Otto Porter Jr. * 29 5-9 0-3 0-1 6 3 1 0 1 10 10 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 28 5-7 2-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 14 9 -
Trey Burke 19 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 4 2 -
Jason Smith 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 2 0 2 8 -
Tomas Satoransky 11 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 4 1 -
Sheldon Mac 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Daniel Ochefu 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Andrew Nicholson 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 4 -

* = starter