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2016-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 18.5% 81.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 26.4% 73.6% - โœ—
Margin 25.3% 74.7% +5.9 โœ— (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 35.7% 64.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 37.0% 63.0% - โœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics -7 (114-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Morris Sr. * 38 8-13 2-5 2-2 4 3 1 3 3 20 15 -
Andre Drummond * 35 8-13 0-0 4-7 17 2 2 1 2 20 27 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 35 10-17 2-4 3-4 5 4 1 1 1 25 18 -
Ish Smith * 35 9-12 0-1 1-2 8 8 0 1 0 19 24 -
Tobias Harris * 35 9-20 3-6 0-0 6 4 0 0 0 21 11 -
Jon Leuer 22 4-5 2-3 2-2 7 2 0 0 0 12 16 -
Aron Baynes 12 0-1 0-0 4-4 3 2 0 1 3 4 6 -
Darrun Hilliard 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 -1 -
Beno Udrih 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae Crowder * 35 5-15 2-10 2-2 5 4 2 0 0 14 10 -
Avery Bradley * 35 4-12 4-8 2-2 6 0 1 0 1 14 8 -
Isaiah Thomas * 33 10-20 3-7 4-4 0 4 0 0 2 27 9 -
Al Horford * 31 3-5 1-2 2-2 5 4 0 2 1 9 14 -
Amir Johnson * 14 4-7 0-1 3-3 5 1 1 1 0 11 12 -
Kelly Olynyk 26 7-9 3-4 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 19 14 -
Marcus Smart 23 4-14 2-8 2-2 2 3 1 0 0 12 4 -
Jonas Jerebko 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
Terry Rozier 14 1-5 0-2 1-1 2 6 1 0 0 3 7 -
Jaylen Brown 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Tyler Zeller 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter