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2016-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 11.7% 88.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.2% 79.8% - โœ“
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 โœ“ (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.6% 80.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.6% 80.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.8% 74.2% - โœ“

Actual: Toronto Raptors +27 (122-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Covington * 31 7-11 6-9 0-0 5 2 2 0 3 20 15 -
Sergio Rodriguez * 27 4-7 2-3 1-1 3 7 2 0 4 11 12 -
Jahlil Okafor * 24 7-14 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 15 7 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 22 4-8 1-3 2-2 6 3 0 0 1 11 11 -
Gerald Henderson * 16 0-7 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -5 -
Nik Stauskas 28 4-9 3-6 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 11 4 -
Dario Saric 23 3-13 1-6 1-4 4 4 0 1 2 8 2 -
Richaun Holmes 23 4-10 1-3 2-2 9 1 2 0 2 11 11 -
T.J. McConnell 20 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 4 2 1 1 6 11 -
Hollis Thompson 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 0 3 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 31 7-9 6-6 4-5 4 8 1 0 3 24 25 -
DeMar DeRozan * 30 4-13 0-0 6-6 5 5 1 1 3 14 10 -
Pascal Siakam * 23 4-6 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 1 1 11 8 -
Jonas Valanciunas * 22 6-12 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 2 1 12 13 -
DeMarre Carroll * 21 4-5 2-3 0-0 5 3 1 2 0 10 16 -
Terrence Ross 23 8-11 3-5 3-3 3 0 0 0 0 22 14 -
Cory Joseph 23 4-10 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 8 4 -
Lucas Nogueira 22 1-2 0-0 4-6 4 0 1 1 1 6 9 -
Patrick Patterson 19 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 8 8 -
Norman Powell 11 1-3 0-0 3-3 0 3 1 1 1 5 6 -
Jakob Poeltl 3 0-0 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Fred VanVleet 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Bruno Caboclo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter