Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.5% | 32.5% | -4.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -5 (114-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 36 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 36 | 14-21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Danny Green * | 29 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Patty Mills | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| David Lee | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 16 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jonathon Simmons | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Davis Bertans | 10 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Anderson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Batum * | 39 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 31 | 9-16 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 28 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky | 30 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 20 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Spencer Hawes | 19 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter