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2016-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 40.8% 59.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% - ✓
Margin 42.1% 57.9% +1.7 ✓ (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 50.6% 49.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 50.6% 49.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 46.2% 53.8% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks +16 (93-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 35 8-17 0-2 4-6 3 1 1 1 3 20 6 -
Wesley Matthews * 34 3-9 2-5 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 8 6 -
J.J. Barea * 33 8-16 1-5 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 17 6 -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 21 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 4 5 -
Andrew Bogut * 20 2-2 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 1 4 12 -
Seth Curry 30 4-12 1-7 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 9 5 -
Justin Anderson 23 0-11 0-5 0-0 7 2 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Dwight Powell 18 2-8 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 1 2 6 2 -
Salah Mejri 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 2 0 2 4 -
Nicolas Brussino 8 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 5 5 -
AJ Hammons 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Quincy Acy 1 1-2 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kristaps Porziņģis * 36 8-16 2-5 6-6 11 1 0 1 3 24 18 -
Courtney Lee * 32 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 7 4 -
Carmelo Anthony * 32 8-18 3-6 5-6 8 3 0 2 3 24 16 -
Derrick Rose * 27 1-6 0-1 1-2 4 5 0 0 5 3 1 -
Joakim Noah * 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 0 5 -
Justin Holiday 25 6-7 2-3 2-2 4 2 1 1 1 16 16 -
Brandon Jennings 23 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 5 5 -
Willy Hernangomez 13 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
Maurice Ndour 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Sasha Vujacic 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
Mindaugas Kuzminskas 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Ron Baker 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Kyle O'Quinn 2 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 3 -

* = starter