Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -6 (99-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Bradley * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 14-15 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 27 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Terry Rozier | 21 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| James Young | 16 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Tyler Zeller | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jaylen Brown | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Teague * | 35 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 11-12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 32 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Lavoy Allen | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Glenn Robinson III | 25 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Al Jefferson | 16 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Brooks | 14 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Joe Young | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter