Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.2% | 84.8% | +9.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +16 (97-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 35 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 28 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Justin Anderson | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Seth Curry | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Quincy Acy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nicolas Brussino | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Hood * | 34 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| George Hill * | 34 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-14 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Joe Ingles | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Trey Lyles | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dante Exum | 19 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Shelvin Mack | 14 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Withey | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joel Bolomboy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Raul Neto | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter