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2016-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.7% 77.3% - โœ“
Margin 19.1% 80.9% +7.9 โœ“ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.3% 70.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +5 (97-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gay * 34 6-14 1-7 0-0 8 3 1 0 6 13 5 -
DeMarcus Cousins * 33 10-26 2-7 6-8 9 3 1 4 2 28 17 -
Darren Collison * 28 4-8 1-3 4-4 0 3 2 0 1 13 9 -
Arron Afflalo * 16 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 2 2 0 0 5 8 -
Kosta Koufos * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Matt Barnes 30 3-11 1-4 5-6 16 5 2 1 2 12 23 -
Garrett Temple 26 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 3 0 0 4 -
Omri Casspi 26 2-9 1-2 2-3 5 1 0 1 0 7 5 -
Ty Lawson 21 3-8 0-2 2-2 3 4 1 1 2 8 7 -
Willie Cauley-Stein 11 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae Crowder * 37 6-12 3-5 1-1 3 3 1 0 2 16 9 -
Al Horford * 35 10-18 4-7 2-2 8 3 2 6 1 26 26 -
Avery Bradley * 34 6-13 2-4 1-1 9 2 2 0 1 15 14 -
Isaiah Thomas * 34 6-21 0-5 8-9 3 7 2 0 1 20 10 -
Amir Johnson * 14 3-3 0-0 2-2 2 3 1 1 0 8 12 -
Marcus Smart 22 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 1 4 3 0 -
Kelly Olynyk 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
Jonas Jerebko 17 2-5 1-1 0-0 9 1 0 0 2 5 8 -
Terry Rozier 15 1-7 0-2 0-0 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 -
Tyler Zeller 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jaylen Brown 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
James Young 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter