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2016-05-08

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Dallas Wings Spread Result
Elo 71.8% 28.2% -
Bradley-Terry 56.3% 43.7% -
Margin 60.1% 39.9% -2.2 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 61.0% 39.0% -

Actual: Dallas Wings -8 (74-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jones 28 5-10 2-4 4-5 5 1 0 4 2 16 14 -
A. Thomas 24 2-9 0-0 4-6 4 1 3 0 2 8 5 -
A. Bentley 22 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 6 7 -
K. Faris 21 1-3 0-2 2-2 7 2 5 0 1 4 14 -
K. Bone 19 5-10 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 11 0 -
J. Thomas 18 2-9 1-4 0-0 5 4 2 0 1 5 6 -
S. Stricklen 16 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 8 5 -
R. Banham 13 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 7 0 0 2 6 9 -
J. Weisner 12 3-5 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
V. Macaulay 12 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 4 6 3 -
J. O'Neill 8 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -3 -
B. Baker 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 2 2 -

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hooper 31 2-5 0-3 1-2 6 1 0 1 4 5 4 -
B. Kiesel 29 2-10 1-1 4-4 3 2 3 0 5 9 2 -
G. Johnson 26 3-7 0-0 7-8 9 0 2 1 4 13 14 -
A. Powers 24 2-10 1-4 7-11 9 2 2 0 2 12 13 -
E. Phillips 18 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 6 0 0 1 7 7 -
P. Pierson 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 5 -2 -
T. Plaisance 14 3-7 0-2 2-2 5 0 0 1 2 8 5 -
J. Schimmel 14 3-5 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 3 6 2 -
A. Zahui B. 14 0-2 0-0 5-6 3 0 2 0 4 5 4 -
R. Hamblin 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
T. Jarosz 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter