Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.0% | 89.0% | +11.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +8 (88-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bria Holmes | 28 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| R. Hollivay | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Cortijo | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| C. Walker | 15 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| R. Hodges | 12 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| N. Johnson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Burdick | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Simmons | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Tobin | 32 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 19 | - |
| A. Beard | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Candace Parker | 21 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 9 | - |
| A. Dabovic | 19 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| E. Carson | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Hamson | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| W. Knight | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Butler | 12 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Crystal Bradford | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Houser | 6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Hines | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Lister | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| K. Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter