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2016-05-07

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 17.8% 82.2% -
Bradley-Terry 16.8% 83.2% -
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 30.1% 69.9% -

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +8 (88-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Holmes 28 4-8 1-4 9-11 2 0 1 0 0 18 13 -
R. Hollivay 27 2-5 0-0 1-3 7 1 0 1 3 5 6 -
C. Cortijo 27 2-8 0-3 5-6 2 6 2 0 3 9 8 -
E. Williams 22 2-8 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
R. Gray 21 1-2 0-0 0-2 8 2 0 1 0 2 11 -
T. Hayes 20 1-5 0-1 8-12 0 2 0 0 2 10 5 -
C. Walker 15 4-6 0-1 2-5 1 0 1 0 2 10 4 -
R. Hodges 12 4-7 3-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 11 6 -
N. Johnson 9 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
C. Burdick 7 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
M. Ajavon 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
M. Simmons 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
D. Milton-Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Tobin 32 1-4 0-0 6-6 10 3 0 2 0 8 19 -
A. Beard 27 7-9 0-0 1-2 3 2 4 2 2 15 15 -
C. Parker 21 9-14 2-3 2-3 3 2 1 0 5 22 9 -
A. Dabovic 19 5-6 0-1 3-4 0 4 0 0 1 13 10 -
E. Carson 18 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
J. Hamson 16 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
C. Gray 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 2 -1 -
W. Knight 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
B. Butler 12 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
C. Bradford 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
K. Houser 6 2-4 2-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 3 -
J. Hines 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Lister 6 0-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
K. Williams 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter