Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.2% | 26.8% | -5.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -3 (74-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore * | 19 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Natasha Howard * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Perkins * | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. Whalen * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 25 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| B. Graves | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| P. Roberts | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Clements | 19 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| S. Wallace | 15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| K. Hampton | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Baric | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cash * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| C. Swords * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Wright * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones * | 15 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 18 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 5-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 13 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| A. Bulgak | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| E. Eldebrink | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Lacy | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Alston | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Caldwell | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter