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2016-05-04

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream San Antonio Stars Spread Result
Elo 72.3% 27.7% -
Bradley-Terry 65.2% 34.8% -
Margin 60.8% 39.2% -2.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 64.7% 35.3% -

Actual: San Antonio Stars +7 (74-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Holmes 26 2-10 0-2 2-4 4 2 3 1 0 6 6 -
E. Williams 24 4-6 0-0 1-2 10 1 0 1 0 9 15 -
C. Burdick 22 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 7 8 -
C. Cortijo 16 2-7 0-3 0-0 6 3 1 0 2 4 5 -
R. Hollivay 16 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 2 1 -
R. Hodges 14 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
R. Gray 13 3-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 2 7 4 -
T. Hayes 13 2-7 0-1 1-1 0 2 0 2 0 5 2 -
M. Simmons 13 4-9 2-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 10 1 -
N. Johnson 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 2 3 -
A. Massengale 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -3 -
C. Walker 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Ajavon 7 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
D. Milton-Jones 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

San Antonio Stars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Appel-Marinelli 27 4-9 0-0 1-1 11 1 0 1 0 9 13 -
D. Hamby 25 6-12 2-3 4-6 7 0 1 0 2 18 12 -
M. Jefferson 25 3-11 0-1 0-0 0 6 2 0 1 6 2 -
H. Peters 23 3-7 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 6 1 -
S. Colson 22 6-8 0-0 5-5 3 2 2 1 3 17 14 -
J. Gwathmey 17 0-6 0-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
S. Hampton 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 4 0 -
A. Montgomery 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 2 -1 -
A. Ndour-Fall 11 1-2 0-1 1-2 6 0 1 1 0 3 9 -
S. Logic 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Z. Medley 7 1-2 1-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
K. Minato 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
V. McIntyre 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter