Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.2% | 88.8% | +11.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +14 (88-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V.J. Beachem * | 39 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Steve Vasturia * | 39 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | -7.9 |
| Demetrius Jackson * | 39 | 10-16 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 14 | -0.5 |
| Matt Farrell * | 26 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -9.3 |
| Zach Auguste * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -7.7 |
| Bonzie Colson | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -8.3 |
| Rex Pflueger | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Ryan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Berry II * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +7.4 |
| Marcus Paige * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +5.8 |
| Brice Johnson * | 32 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 23 | +13.6 |
| Justin Jackson * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Theo Pinson | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +13.1 |
| Nate Britt | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +13.0 |
| Joel James | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter