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Notre Dame Fighting Irish 74
@
North Carolina Tar Heels 88
2016-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 14.3% 85.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% - ✓
Margin 11.2% 88.8% +11.4 ✓ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 26.8% 73.2% - ✓
Efficiency 1.2% 98.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 5.8% 94.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 5.7% 94.3% - ✓

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +14 (88-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V.J. Beachem * 39 6-9 3-5 3-5 1 0 1 1 0 18 12 -
S. Vasturia * 39 4-10 1-4 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 11 4 -7.9
D. Jackson * 39 10-16 3-7 3-4 2 4 1 0 3 26 14 -0.5
M. Farrell * 26 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 6 6 -9.3
Z. Auguste * 21 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -7.7
B. Colson 29 3-8 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 1 8 5 -8.3
R. Pflueger 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Ryan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Berry II * 34 4-8 1-4 2-2 1 8 1 0 0 11 13 +7.4
M. Paige * 34 3-8 2-6 5-5 2 2 1 0 1 13 9 +5.8
B. Johnson * 32 10-15 0-0 5-5 12 1 1 1 2 25 23 +13.6
J. Jackson * 28 4-6 1-2 2-3 5 2 0 0 0 11 12 -
K. Meeks * 15 4-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 10 7 -
T. Pinson 23 2-2 0-0 2-5 2 4 1 0 0 6 11 -
I. Hicks 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 4 +13.1
N. Britt 13 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 +13.0
J. James 4 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter