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2016-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Morehead State Eagles Spread Result
Elo 50.2% 49.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 53.7% 46.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“

Actual: Morehead State Eagles +3 (86-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Criswell * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 31 37 -
D.J. Fenner * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 8 15 -
L. Drew * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 7 13 -
C. Oliver * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 3 0 12 23 -
E. Foster * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 3 0 3 -
M. Coleman 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 5 10 12 -
E. Cooper Jr. 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 15 16 -
K. Rodriguez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lyonell Gaines * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 3 1 0 1 27 44 -
Brent Arrington * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 3 0 0 13 24 -
Corban Collins * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 5 8 -
Xavier Moon * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 8 17 -
Anthony Elechi * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 9 13 -
DeJuan Marrero 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 0 15 22 -
Miguel Dicent 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 10 -
Ronnye Beamon 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Lamontray Harris 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Treshaad Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter