Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +16 (60-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Rahon * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Emmett Naar * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Dane Pineau * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Evan Fitzner * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Calvin Hermanson * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Clark | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jock Landale | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Stefan Gonzalez | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jack Biebel | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Hunter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Franklin Porter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Peters * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 33 | - |
| Keith Carter * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Shane Hammink * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Vashil Fernandez * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21 | - |
| Darien Walker * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tevonn Walker | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jubril Adekoya | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| David Skara | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Victor Nickerson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Max Joseph | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter