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2016-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 80.3% 19.7% -
Bradley-Terry 67.4% 32.6% -
Margin 84.1% 15.9% -9.2 (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 67.7% 32.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% -
Log Adjusted 32.0% 68.0% -

Actual: Syracuse Orange +3 (63-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Perkins * 39 3-8 2-5 0-0 3 6 1 0 2 8 8 -3.7
D. Sabonis * 38 8-12 0-0 3-4 17 1 0 5 2 19 28 -
K. Wiltjer * 38 9-17 4-7 1-1 5 4 1 2 3 23 15 -12.3
K. Dranginis * 38 1-4 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 4 3 2 -12.4
E. McClellan * 21 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 4 1 1 4 5 1 -9.1
S. Melson 26 1-7 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 -1 -12.3

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gbinije * 38 8-23 1-5 3-4 4 3 2 2 3 20 5 +16.4
T. Roberson * 35 3-6 0-0 3-4 12 2 1 1 0 9 19 -
T. Cooney * 35 5-9 1-2 4-4 2 1 2 0 2 15 9 +5.5
M. Richardson * 32 3-14 2-6 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 10 -5 -
D. Coleman * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 0 6 +16.0
T. Lydon 29 1-5 0-1 2-2 4 0 1 6 0 4 10 -
F. Howard 17 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 3 2 1 2 5 6 +10.5

* = starter