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2016-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 42.0% 58.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 โœ“ (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 31.2% 68.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.3% 81.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.3% 81.7% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (101-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jackson Tharp 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Harrison Niego 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tim Priller 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Yogi Ferrell * 36 6-14 4-9 9-10 3 4 0 0 2 25 16 -
Troy Williams * 31 6-14 5-8 4-5 2 3 1 0 3 21 10 -
Thomas Bryant * 30 4-8 0-1 4-5 8 2 1 1 2 12 14 -
Collin Hartman * 27 3-6 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 7 6 +7.2
Nick Zeisloft * 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +6.6
Max Bielfeldt 22 5-10 3-5 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 15 7 +6.4
OG Anunoby 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
Juwan Morgan 13 0-2 0-1 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Ryan Burton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -0.8

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kanler Coker 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Stilman White 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Justin Coleman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Spenser Dalton 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Luke Maye 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brice Johnson * 37 5-11 0-0 10-12 10 1 1 3 2 20 22 -1.8
J. Berry II * 31 5-8 2-3 2-2 2 5 2 0 1 14 14 -4.2
Justin Jackson * 29 3-9 2-5 6-8 5 3 2 2 1 14 16 -
Kennedy Meeks * 29 5-9 0-0 5-7 9 1 0 0 2 15 14 -2.6
Marcus Paige * 27 7-12 6-9 1-2 1 6 0 0 0 21 16 +2.0
Nate Britt 18 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 7 7 -2.4
Theo Pinson 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 4 5 -
Isaiah Hicks 7 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Joel James 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Kenny Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter