Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +18 (73-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cunningham * | 38 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 8-8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 17 | -6.6 |
| Lindsey Cunningham * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -8.7 |
| Cierra Porter * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Jordan Frericks * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -6.9 |
| Morgan Stock * | 16 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | +1.8 |
| Sierra Michaelis | 16 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | -9.1 |
| Juanita Robinson | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -8.2 |
| Kayla Michael | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Bri Porter | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.2 |
| Michelle Hudyn | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.9 |
| Maddie Stock | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Lianna Doty | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.9 |
| Carrie Shephard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke McCarty-Williams * | 36 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +10.2 |
| Celina Rodrigo * | 31 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | +9.7 |
| A. Atkins * | 27 | 9-13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | +6.3 |
| Imani McGee-Stafford * | 23 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Empress Davenport * | 18 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2.3 |
| Brianna Taylor | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +6.9 |
| Kelsey Lang | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +10.9 |
| Lashann Higgs | 15 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Jordan Hosey | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Tasia Foman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Brady Sanders | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Sara Hattis | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Olamide Aborowa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter