Model Predictions
| Model | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | Stanford Cardinal | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stanford Cardinal +1 (66-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macy Miller * | 34 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +9.4 |
| Ellie Thompson * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -2.9 |
| Kerri Young * | 31 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Clarissa Ober * | 30 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +8.9 |
| Madison Guebert * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -2.8 |
| Alexis Alexander | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +2.3 |
| Gabrielle Boever | 17 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Chloe Cornemann | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.4 |
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lili Thompson * | 40 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 4-8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | -2.1 |
| K. Samuelson * | 38 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +6.4 |
| E. McCall * | 32 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 17 | +17.2 |
| Briana Roberson * | 26 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +5.7 |
| Kaylee Johnson * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | -17.4 |
| Kailee Johnson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | +10.7 |
| Marta Sniezek | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -4.9 |
| A. Smith | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Brittany McPhee | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -5.4 |
* = starter