Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +17 (87-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyra Buss * | 40 | 3-16 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -2 | +10.3 |
| Alexis Gassion * | 40 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | +11.6 |
| Amanda Cahill * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 8 | +16.1 |
| Karlee McBride * | 29 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | +7.6 |
| Jenn Anderson * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +3.4 |
| Kym Royster | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | -3.4 |
| Jess Walter | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.2 |
| Lyndsay Leikem | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -7.4 |
| Tyshee Towner | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Cable * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | +9.5 |
| B. Turner * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 16 | +15.1 |
| L. Allen * | 33 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 22 | +9.4 |
| K. Westbeld * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -11.0 |
| Michaela Mabrey * | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -7.3 |
| M. Mabrey | 23 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Hannah Huffman | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | +2.2 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Mychal Johnson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -2.4 |
| Diamond Thompson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter