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South Florida Bulls 67
@
UCLA Bruins 72
2016-03-21 · Shot chart

Model Predictions

Model South Florida Bulls UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 18.0% 82.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 39.7% 60.3% - ✓
Margin 39.8% 60.2% - ✓
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 43.0% 57.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 43.2% 56.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% - ✓

Actual: UCLA Bruins +5 (72-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

South Florida Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Courtney Williams * 40 10-32 3-9 6-6 9 0 1 1 2 29 6 +7.9
Alisia Jenkins * 39 7-12 1-1 8-9 9 2 4 0 2 23 24 +7.6
Laura Ferreira * 36 0-4 0-1 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 0 4 +13.2
S. Stringfield * 34 2-7 0-0 1-2 5 4 1 0 7 5 1 +12.8
Katelyn Weber * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Laksa 36 4-10 2-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 10 3 +7.9
Laia Flores 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -3.3
Maria Jespersen 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -2.9
Paige Cashin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ariadna Pujol 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.7

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nirra Fields * 36 6-16 1-2 1-3 4 2 2 2 2 14 6 +2.4
Kari Korver * 35 3-7 3-6 3-5 6 6 1 0 1 12 17 +0.8
J. Canada * 34 6-18 0-0 7-7 7 3 4 0 5 19 10 -9.0
M. Billings * 30 5-13 0-0 1-2 10 2 1 0 3 11 8 -1.6
Lajahna Drummer * 27 4-8 0-0 0-2 12 1 0 1 1 8 13 -0.5
K. Burke 18 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 5 4 +8.5
Kelli Hayes 17 1-2 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -3.0
Paulina Hersler 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +0.2

* = starter