Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma Sooners | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +21 (79-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma Sooners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabbi Ortiz * | 34 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -1.8 |
| Peyton Little * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -5.3 |
| Maddie Manning * | 28 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -5.3 |
| Gioya Carter * | 25 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | -17.0 |
| Kaylon Williams * | 18 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Derica Wyatt | 26 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -16.6 |
| Vionise Pierre-Louis | 24 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -15.0 |
| Shaya Kellogg | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.4 |
| T'ona Edwards | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -12.1 |
| LaNesia Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janee Thompson * | 38 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | +16.5 |
| Makayla Epps * | 34 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 10-14 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | +20.8 |
| Evelyn Akhator * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +13.5 |
| Maci Morris * | 19 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | +9.8 |
| Batouly Camara * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +7.6 |
| Alexis Jennings | 33 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 13 | +11.4 |
| Taylor Murray | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +20.9 |
| Alyssa Rice | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +2.5 |
* = starter