Model Predictions
| Model | Duquesne Dukes | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.0% | 100.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.0% | 100.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +46 (97-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April Robinson | 38 | 5-12 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | -9.6 |
| Amadea Szamosi | 37 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -7.6 |
| Deva'Nyar Workman | 36 | 7-22 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 4 | -4.3 |
| Kadri-Ann Lass | 33 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Emilie Gronas | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3.9 |
| Chassidy Omogrosso | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -5.8 |
| Angela Staffileno | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -8.9 |
| Brianna Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Juca Vojinovic | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.9 |
| Eniko Kuttor | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Conor Richardson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Erin Waskowiak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Tuck | 35 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | +17.2 |
| Moriah Jefferson | 34 | 7-10 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 24 | +17.8 |
| Breanna Stewart | 34 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 23 | +21.1 |
| K. Nurse | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +9.1 |
| K. Samuelson | 22 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -1.6 |
| G. Williams | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +12.2 |
| N. Collier | 13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +7.5 |
| Saniya Chong | 6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +3.7 |
| Courtney Ekmark | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.4 |
| Natalie Butler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2.7 |
| Tierney Lawlor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.6 |
| Briana Pulido | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.6 |
* = starter