Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Utes | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -15 (77-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.