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2016-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 84.8% 15.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 75.8% 24.2% - โœ“
Margin 88.7% 11.3% -11.3 โœ“ (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 75.4% 24.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 61.4% 38.6% - โœ“

Actual: Utah Utes -23 (59-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 36 8-12 1-1 2-2 10 3 2 1 3 19 20 -
Kyle Dranginis * 36 3-9 1-6 0-0 7 3 2 0 0 7 10 +13.0
Eric McClellan * 33 9-12 2-2 2-2 5 3 1 1 2 22 18 +12.6
Kyle Wiltjer * 33 7-10 3-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 17 12 -1.1
Josh Perkins * 26 4-9 1-4 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 10 5 +14.1
Silas Melson 25 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 5 4 +13.1
Bryan Alberts 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Rem Bakamus 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Ryan Edwards 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jack Beach 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Dustin Triano 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Taylor * 30 3-10 1-6 0-0 1 4 4 0 2 7 4 +3.3
Lorenzo Bonam * 29 6-12 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 12 2 -12.4
Kyle Kuzma * 28 5-8 3-4 2-2 2 0 0 2 4 15 7 -
Jordan Loveridge * 27 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -2 -12.2
Jakob Poeltl * 24 2-5 0-0 1-1 4 2 0 1 2 5 5 -
Dakarai Tucker 26 2-6 1-2 3-3 4 0 1 0 1 8 6 -12.3
Brekkott Chapman 12 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -9.5
Isaiah Wright 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Chris Reyes 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Gabe Bealer 2 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Austin Eastman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter