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2016-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 84.8% 15.2% -
Bradley-Terry 75.8% 24.2% -
Margin 88.7% 11.3% -11.3 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% -
Efficiency 75.4% 24.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% -
Log Adjusted 61.4% 38.6% -

Actual: Utah Utes -23 (59-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Sabonis * 36 8-12 1-1 2-2 10 3 2 1 3 19 20 -
K. Dranginis * 36 3-9 1-6 0-0 7 3 2 0 0 7 10 +13.0
E. McClellan * 33 9-12 2-2 2-2 5 3 1 1 2 22 18 +12.6
K. Wiltjer * 33 7-10 3-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 17 12 -1.1
J. Perkins * 26 4-9 1-4 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 10 5 +14.1
S. Melson 25 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 5 4 +13.1
B. Alberts 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Bakamus 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Edwards 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Beach 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Triano 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Taylor * 30 3-10 1-6 0-0 1 4 4 0 2 7 4 +3.3
L. Bonam * 29 6-12 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 12 2 -12.4
K. Kuzma * 28 5-8 3-4 2-2 2 0 0 2 4 15 7 -
J. Loveridge * 27 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -2 -12.2
J. Poeltl * 24 2-5 0-0 1-1 4 2 0 1 2 5 5 -
D. Tucker 26 2-6 1-2 3-3 4 0 1 0 1 8 6 -12.3
B. Chapman 12 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -9.5
I. Wright 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. Reyes 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
G. Bealer 2 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
A. Eastman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter