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2016-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 29.2% 70.8% -
Bradley-Terry 30.6% 69.4% -
Margin 19.5% 80.5% +7.8 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 39.9% 60.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
Log Adjusted 51.5% 48.5% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -6 (67-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Ferrell * 37 6-13 1-4 5-6 5 4 0 0 1 18 13 -
T. Williams * 32 4-12 0-3 5-7 4 3 0 0 4 13 4 -
N. Zeisloft * 26 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 1 +16.8
T. Bryant * 24 6-8 0-2 7-9 5 0 2 1 2 19 17 -
C. Hartman * 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 2 6 +7.3
O. Anunoby 26 3-4 1-2 0-1 3 1 2 3 2 7 10 -
M. Bielfeldt 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
R. Johnson 10 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
J. Morgan 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Burton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ulis * 39 10-20 3-6 4-5 0 3 2 0 4 27 8 -
J. Murray * 38 7-18 1-9 1-2 7 4 1 0 3 16 7 -
I. Briscoe * 29 2-3 0-0 3-3 3 1 1 0 3 7 6 -
A. Poythress * 21 1-5 0-0 4-4 6 0 1 0 2 6 6 -
S. Labissiere * 15 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
M. Lee 28 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 4 5 -7.6
D. Willis 15 0-2 0-1 0-1 4 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
D. Hawkins 14 0-0 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -8.0
C. Matthews 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter