Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.9% | 86.1% | +10.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +19 (85-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bullock * | 37 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| J. Lindsey * | 35 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Bentil * | 32 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | - |
| K. Dunn * | 26 | 10-16 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 17 | - |
| J. Lomomba * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Cartwright | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Edwards | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Chambers | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Q. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| R. Council II | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Woodring | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Planek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Berry II * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Brice Johnson * | 32 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 31 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Paige * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 22 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Theo Pinson | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Nate Britt | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Toby Egbuna | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joel James | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kenny Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Spenser Dalton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Coleman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luke Maye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Stilman White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter