Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.3 | ✗ (29.3 off) |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -9 (81-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Buford * | 39 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | +11.4 |
| G. Potts * | 39 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 18 | +11.2 |
| R. Upshaw Jr. * | 38 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 2-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 16 | -4.3 |
| J. Raymond * | 37 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +5.2 |
| D. Harris * | 28 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | +7.7 |
| A. Foote | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Gamble | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| X. Habersham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Q. Copeland | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Van Dyk | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 37 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 14 | -3.2 |
| Matt Costello * | 31 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 25 | -6.8 |
| Bryn Forbes * | 30 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Eron Harris * | 24 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Deyonta Davis * | 15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4.3 |
| A. Ellis III | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Javon Bess | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Clark II | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter