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2016-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Tulsa Golden Hurricane Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 10.1% 89.9% -
Bradley-Terry 14.5% 85.5% -
Margin 3.8% 96.2% +17.8 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -
Efficiency 48.7% 51.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.4% 64.6% -
Log Adjusted 35.6% 64.4% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Woodard * 35 3-12 1-6 2-2 8 1 0 0 0 9 6 -13.2
S. Harrison * 30 10-13 1-1 2-5 7 5 1 1 2 23 22 +1.2
P. Birt * 28 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -13.1
R. Smith * 24 4-8 1-1 0-1 2 0 1 1 1 9 4 -3.7
B. Swannegan * 22 3-4 0-0 3-5 5 0 0 3 1 9 12 -16.9
M. Curtis 22 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 2 2 0 3 4 5 -13.3
D. Wright 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 6 1 -
R. Ray 18 0-5 0-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 2 2 +15.0
S. Taplin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wagner 22 2-2 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 4 1 4 15 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 38 5-16 0-3 6-8 3 2 0 0 0 16 5 -
Z. Irvin * 36 6-12 2-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 3 16 6 +19.9
D. Robinson * 35 5-10 2-5 1-2 11 4 1 2 1 13 20 -
D. Walton Jr. * 29 4-10 2-7 2-2 0 1 2 0 3 12 2 +20.4
M. Donnal * 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Dawkins 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -16.0
A. Dakich 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Doyle 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
K. Chatman 4 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -4 +14.1

* = starter