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2016-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Margin 16.2% 83.8% +9.1 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% - โœ—
Efficiency 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 40.2% 59.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 39.5% 60.5% - โœ“

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +4 (47-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Robinson * 38 3-15 0-3 1-2 11 4 0 0 1 7 6 -
Jamel Artis * 32 4-10 3-6 2-2 5 0 1 0 2 13 7 -6.4
Chris Jones * 32 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 4 +0.6
Michael Young * 25 3-7 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 2 2 6 4 -
Rafael Maia * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 4 -
Sheldon Jeter 25 4-7 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 9 6 -7.2
Cameron Johnson 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Alonzo Nelson-Ododa 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
Ryan Luther 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Sterling Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Damon Wilson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 +9.4

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Hayes-Davis * 38 3-17 0-6 6-8 5 2 1 0 0 12 3 -
Bronson Koenig * 36 1-8 0-2 0-0 7 1 2 0 0 2 4 +9.1
Vitto Brown * 34 4-7 3-5 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 11 8 +10.1
Ethan Happ * 31 6-8 0-0 3-7 9 3 2 1 4 15 18 +1.0
Zak Showalter * 31 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 5 -1 +10.2
Jordan Hill 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -7.3
Khalil Iverson 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.9
C. Thomas IV 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Alex Illikainen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter