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2016-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% -
Margin 16.2% 83.8% +9.1 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -
Efficiency 37.8% 62.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.2% 59.8% -
Log Adjusted 39.5% 60.5% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +4 (47-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Robinson * 38 3-15 0-3 1-2 11 4 0 0 1 7 6 -
J. Artis * 32 4-10 3-6 2-2 5 0 1 0 2 13 7 -6.4
C. Jones * 32 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 4 +0.6
M. Young * 25 3-7 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 2 2 6 4 -
R. Maia * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 4 -
S. Jeter 25 4-7 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 9 6 -7.2
C. Johnson 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
A. Nelson-Ododa 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
R. Luther 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Wilson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 +9.4

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Hayes-Davis * 38 3-17 0-6 6-8 5 2 1 0 0 12 3 -
B. Koenig * 36 1-8 0-2 0-0 7 1 2 0 0 2 4 +9.1
V. Brown * 34 4-7 3-5 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 11 8 +10.1
E. Happ * 31 6-8 0-0 3-7 9 3 2 1 4 15 18 +1.0
Z. Showalter * 31 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 5 -1 +10.2
J. Hill 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -7.3
K. Iverson 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.9
C. Thomas IV 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Illikainen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter