🐻⬇️🏀

@
2016-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 22.2% 77.8% -
Bradley-Terry 11.7% 88.3% -
Margin 7.7% 92.3% +13.7 (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 53.4% 46.6% -
Efficiency 39.0% 61.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% -
Log Adjusted 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -4 (75-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Victor * 39 0-4 0-3 2-4 6 1 1 2 4 2 4 +7.6
M. Mason * 39 9-18 2-8 11-11 6 4 0 0 2 31 21 +3.4
A. Dallier * 35 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 5 8 +7.1
J. Sears * 28 7-10 1-1 3-5 4 3 0 1 4 18 12 +7.2
B. Sherrod * 27 3-3 0-0 4-7 6 0 1 0 2 10 12 +8.0
S. Downey 16 3-5 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 0 8 11 -0.9
B. Reynolds 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 3 5 -1.1
K. Ghani 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Phills 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Prince * 34 12-24 4-7 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 28 11 -3.3
L. Medford * 33 1-6 0-2 0-0 0 6 0 0 1 2 1 -5.8
A. Freeman * 28 2-6 1-5 1-2 3 0 0 1 2 6 2 -3.4
J. Motley * 27 5-10 0-0 5-6 7 0 2 0 1 15 13 +2.4
I. Wainright * 26 3-6 1-1 0-0 8 4 3 0 1 7 15 -
J. Lindsey 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 3 5 -
R. Gathers 16 3-8 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 1 0 6 4 -
T. Maston 10 3-5 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 3 -6.3
K. McClure 9 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 1 4 -

* = starter