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2016-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 3.9% 96.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% - โœ—
Margin 33.9% 66.1% +3.7 โœ— (23.7 off)
Pythagorean 69.3% 30.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 84.9% 15.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 87.5% 12.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 87.6% 12.4% - โœ“

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -20 (50-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. VanVleet * 34 6-15 2-6 0-1 3 7 2 0 1 14 10 -
R. Baker * 33 3-11 1-5 7-8 9 3 1 0 1 14 15 +0.9
Z. Brown * 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
S. Morris * 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
E. Wessel * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Grady 29 3-9 0-0 5-6 7 1 0 0 0 11 10 +16.8
M. McDuffie 25 2-6 1-1 2-4 7 0 2 0 2 7 8 +0.6
R. Kelly 17 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 3 1 +17.1
R. Nurger 17 2-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 6 7 -
C. Frankamp 16 2-5 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 8 5 +16.3
B. Wamukota 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Baldwin IV * 33 3-9 0-2 3-3 4 5 1 0 4 9 6 -
Luke Kornet * 32 3-10 1-5 1-2 9 0 0 2 0 8 9 -
Jeff Roberson * 28 1-7 0-3 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 3 2 +0.9
Damian Jones * 26 2-6 0-0 1-7 5 0 0 2 0 5 6 -14.5
Matthew Fisher-Davis * 18 0-5 0-4 2-3 2 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Joe Toye 26 3-6 1-2 3-4 3 0 0 0 1 10 6 -15.0
Riley LaChance 23 4-8 1-3 1-1 3 2 0 0 1 10 6 -14.5
Nolan Cressler 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 +0.7
Josh Henderson 5 0-1 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 0 2 3 3 -
Camron Justice 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter