🐻⬇️🏀

Butler Bulldogs 71
@
Texas Tech Red Raiders 61
2016-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 13.2% 86.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% - ✗
Margin 15.8% 84.2% +9.2 ✗ (19.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.6% 41.4% - ✓
Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 48.8% 51.2% - ✗

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders -10 (61-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Jones * 38 1-8 0-0 2-5 8 6 2 0 4 4 8 +21.0
A. Chrabascz * 35 4-8 1-1 4-4 4 3 1 1 0 13 14 +2.3
K. Martin * 32 4-9 2-4 1-1 7 2 2 1 1 11 13 -
K. Dunham * 31 8-15 5-9 2-2 2 2 2 0 1 23 13 +20.4
T. Wideman * 29 6-6 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 0 2 14 15 +10.2
A. Etherington 17 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 2 0 4 1 -1 +19.5
J. Gathers 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 +10.1
T. Lewis 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Smith * 34 4-6 0-0 0-2 4 1 1 2 3 8 7 -16.4
J. Gray * 34 4-11 1-3 1-2 6 2 0 0 0 10 7 -17.0
K. Evans * 29 3-8 0-1 0-1 7 6 0 0 3 6 8 -16.6
T. Gotcher * 28 2-7 0-3 1-2 1 1 1 1 1 5 1 -8.5
M. Temple * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 4 -
A. Ross 24 3-6 2-3 2-2 6 1 1 0 0 10 12 -
D. Williams 24 7-14 4-8 0-0 1 0 2 0 4 18 3 -8.3
N. Odiase 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 2 3 -
D. Thomas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter