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2016-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 88.8% 11.2% -
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% -
Margin 68.3% 31.7% -4.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 33.4% 66.6% -
Efficiency 27.3% 72.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.0% 81.0% -
Log Adjusted 19.2% 80.8% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wagner 8 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 6 4 -
D. Robinson * 38 3-7 3-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 9 7 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 38 5-12 3-4 2-2 4 3 1 0 0 15 11 -
D. Walton Jr. * 38 4-13 2-6 0-1 4 8 6 0 2 10 13 +5.6
Z. Irvin * 36 4-16 1-9 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 9 2 -1.0
M. Donnal * 29 4-9 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 1 0 9 5 -4.6
M. Wagner 8 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 6 4 -
A. Dawkins 7 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 +3.4
R. Doyle 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -5.0
A. Dakich 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.8

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Jackson * 40 4-8 1-3 2-2 5 2 1 0 2 11 9 +5.8
S. Vasturia * 38 3-11 1-4 2-2 1 5 2 0 2 9 4 -1.2
V.J. Beachem * 35 7-7 4-4 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 18 18 -
Z. Auguste * 27 4-5 0-0 2-5 12 0 0 3 4 10 16 +6.1
M. Farrell * 22 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 5 3 +4.5
B. Colson 18 4-5 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 2 1 12 13 +6.9
R. Pflueger 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 2 2 2 3 -
M. Ryan 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter