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2016-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 39.9% 60.1% -
Bradley-Terry 23.0% 77.0% -
Margin 18.5% 81.5% +8.2 (22.8 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% -
Efficiency 6.6% 93.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.9% 90.1% -
Log Adjusted 9.8% 90.2% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +31 (88-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Poeltl * 27 4-6 0-0 5-5 4 0 0 3 5 13 9 -
B. Taylor * 26 2-4 2-3 2-3 1 2 2 0 4 8 5 -13.9
J. Loveridge * 26 3-8 2-5 1-1 3 3 0 0 1 9 6 -1.1
K. Kuzma * 20 3-8 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
L. Bonam * 19 0-4 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -13.3
I. Wright 24 2-4 0-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 5 3 -
D. Tucker 23 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 9 7 -14.4
B. Chapman 14 2-4 0-1 1-1 1 1 0 0 4 5 -1 -
C. Reyes 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -2.0
G. Bealer 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Eastman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Dorsey * 33 9-16 1-3 4-5 9 3 1 0 0 23 20 -
D. Brooks * 31 6-13 4-7 2-2 3 2 3 0 1 18 12 -
E. Cook * 30 4-8 1-2 2-4 7 6 3 0 1 11 18 -
C. Boucher * 26 5-9 3-4 2-4 7 0 1 2 1 15 15 -
C. Benson * 26 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 2 5 -
J. Bell 19 4-9 0-1 1-3 2 2 3 3 2 9 8 +15.3
D. Benjamin 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +15.5
K. Small 9 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 2 +2.6
R. Sorkin 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Heller 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Noebel 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
P. Richmond 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter