Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -4 (61-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Snow | 34 | 9-23 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| K. Williams | 31 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Holt | 28 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| L. Fruendt | 26 | 4-16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -1 | - |
| H. Chvatal | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| D. Gitzen | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 9-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| O. Osemenam | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| L. Hughes | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. Swartz | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| L. Polowy | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dean | 33 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| C. Ingle | 33 | 4-14 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 8 | - |
| S. Rhine | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 25 | - |
| L. Wendell | 27 | 4-16 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -3 | - |
| S. Bachrodt | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Greiner | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Miller | 19 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Donahue | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Rush | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter