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2016-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Maryland Terrapins Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 4.5% 95.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“
Margin 18.2% 81.8% +8.3 โœ“ (5.3 off)
Efficiency 11.1% 88.9% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +3 (64-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rasheed Sulaimon * 38 3-10 2-4 1-3 2 3 2 0 1 9 5 -1.2
Melo Trimble * 35 2-15 1-7 6-6 3 2 1 0 0 11 2 -1.3
Robert Carter * 32 6-10 3-5 3-4 8 2 2 0 1 18 19 -
Diamond Stone * 31 4-9 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 0 9 8 -
Jake Layman * 29 2-8 1-4 4-4 6 1 2 0 2 9 8 -
Damonte Dodd 17 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 5 -1.8
Jared Nickens 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 +0.6
Jaylen Brantley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Denzel Valentine * 37 4-12 2-5 8-9 7 10 0 0 4 18 19 +5.8
Bryn Forbes * 35 2-6 0-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 4 3 -
Deyonta Davis * 30 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 0 6 8 -
Matt Costello * 26 2-5 0-0 6-6 5 2 0 0 4 10 8 +2.0
Eron Harris * 22 3-7 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 8 1 +5.3
Gavin Schilling 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
A. Ellis III 12 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 +3.1
M. Clark II 10 2-5 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
Matt McQuaid 8 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
L. Nairn Jr. 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter