Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -13 (58-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| H. Chvatal | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T. Snow | 28 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 23 | - |
| A. Holt | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| L. Fruendt | 21 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | - |
| L. Hughes | 20 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Gitzen | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| O. Osemenam | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Swartz | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Polowy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Vander Weide | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lamar | 38 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| M. Weekly | 32 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| S. Davison | 29 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Keitel | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Sorenson | 25 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Morgan | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| H. Schonhardt | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Johnson | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Davison | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| L. Parker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter