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2016-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 9.5% 90.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.2% 80.8% - โœ“
Margin 15.1% 84.9% +9.5 โœ“ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.5% 81.5% - โœ“

Actual: UConn Huskies +14 (72-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dedric Lawson * 39 7-16 0-2 7-10 11 1 0 0 1 21 16 -
Shaq Goodwin * 37 3-9 0-0 0-1 5 2 0 0 1 6 3 -4.6
Markel Crawford * 37 3-5 2-3 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 9 7 -4.1
Trahson Burrell * 30 3-14 1-5 0-1 4 4 1 0 1 7 1 -4.3
Ricky Tarrant * 27 3-7 2-5 3-3 3 1 1 0 2 11 7 -4.6
Jeremiah Martin 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -1.1
Sam Craft 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Caleb Wallingford 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Craig Randall 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Dante Scott 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jake McDowell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nick Marshall 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daniel Hamilton * 37 3-11 0-4 6-8 11 6 1 0 0 12 19 -
Rodney Purvis * 32 4-8 2-5 2-2 4 4 0 0 0 12 12 +5.5
Sterling Gibbs * 30 3-10 3-9 4-4 3 1 1 0 3 13 5 +8.0
Shonn Miller * 22 4-6 1-2 4-4 4 0 0 0 0 13 11 +2.3
Phillip Nolan * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jalen Adams 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 1 3 4 3 -
Kentan Facey 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 6 -
Omar Calhoun 15 2-3 2-3 4-6 0 1 0 0 0 10 8 +5.0
Amida Brimah 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 2 4 +2.2
Steven Enoch 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Mike Noyes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nnamdi Amilo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Christian Foxen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter