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2016-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 6.5% 93.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.1% 65.9% -
Margin 7.8% 92.2% +13.6 (18.6 off)

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -5 (63-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Ellison III 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Harris * 40 7-19 4-9 0-0 4 4 3 0 7 18 3 +16.8
J. Lewis * 37 1-9 1-3 5-6 7 0 3 0 0 8 9 +16.7
K. Edo * 24 3-8 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 2 0 9 5 +7.6
C. Guerrero * 23 2-5 1-3 3-3 1 1 2 0 0 8 7 +7.3
C. Russo * 15 2-5 0-3 3-3 1 1 2 0 2 7 4 +7.9
P. Watson 26 3-4 2-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 8 10 +0.3
J. Taylor 17 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 6 7 -
T. Carter II 17 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 3 4 4 +8.2
S. Bittner 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Kell * 34 1-9 0-5 3-4 2 3 1 0 3 5 -1 -14.3
D. Allen * 34 4-6 0-2 1-2 4 0 2 1 3 9 7 -
W. Shepard * 34 5-10 0-0 5-6 8 7 2 0 1 15 21 -6.8
M. Pope * 30 8-16 3-4 0-0 11 0 0 0 2 19 12 -7.7
S. Spencer * 23 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 3 2 2 8 -
Z. Cheatham 16 3-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 2 3 7 5 -6.8
J. Hemsley 16 1-9 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 -1 -14.3
A. Chol 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -

* = starter