Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +17 (76-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wagner | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Walton Jr. * | 37 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 17 | +5.6 |
| M. Abdur-Rahkman * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| D. Robinson * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Z. Irvin * | 31 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | -8.6 |
| M. Donnal * | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +4.6 |
| K. Chatman | 13 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Doyle | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -9.4 |
| A. Dawkins | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Wagner | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Wilson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Dakich | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.3 |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Edwards * | 31 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +7.5 |
| A. Hammons * | 31 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 23 | - |
| R. Davis * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| C. Swanigan * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Thompson * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Mathias | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Hill | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5.8 |
| R. Cline | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +5.8 |
| I. Haas | 9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +5.7 |
| J. Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter