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2016-03-11

Model Predictions

Model UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Spread Result
Elo 30.9% 69.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.6% 74.4% - โœ“
Margin 21.8% 78.2% +7.0 โœ“ (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 22.0% 78.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 22.0% 78.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.6% 65.4% - โœ“

Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +12 (88-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Bryson * 38 8-16 3-7 3-5 10 1 1 1 1 22 18 -
Gabe Vincent * 33 7-15 1-8 2-3 2 3 0 0 4 17 3 -
Eric Childress * 27 2-8 1-3 0-0 4 6 6 0 5 5 8 -
Sam Beeler * 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
Jarriesse Blackmon * 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
John Green 17 0-3 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -
T.J. Taylor 14 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Maxwell Kupchak 13 1-1 0-0 3-6 4 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
DaJuan Smith 11 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 6 8 -
Mitch Brewe 11 0-1 0-1 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Alex Hart 8 3-3 3-3 4-5 4 0 0 1 0 13 15 -

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Buscher 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Dyrbe Enos 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brocke Stepteau 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Aaron Valdes * 39 7-12 1-4 4-6 10 7 1 0 3 19 22 -
Roderick Bobbitt * 39 7-14 4-7 3-5 6 5 4 1 4 21 19 -
Stefan Jankovic * 31 7-12 3-5 7-8 7 1 1 0 4 24 17 -
Mike Thomas * 23 2-3 0-0 4-4 3 1 0 0 0 8 9 -
Quincy Smith * 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 2 3 0 0 2 9 -
Sheriff Drammeh 29 0-1 0-0 5-8 2 1 1 0 2 5 6 -
Sai Tummala 17 1-5 1-5 1-2 1 3 0 0 0 4 3 -
Stefan Jovanovic 9 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 5 5 -
Niko Filipovich 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter