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2016-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Idaho Vandals Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 46.1% 53.9% -
Bradley-Terry 23.4% 76.6% -
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 (0.8 off)

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +9 (81-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Callandret * 36 7-12 4-8 7-8 5 3 0 0 3 25 18 -5.6
N. Sherwood * 31 3-5 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 8 9 -
V. Sanders * 30 3-9 3-8 9-11 2 3 1 1 2 18 14 -5.6
C. Sarbaugh * 29 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 0 1 3 5 -3.3
A. Mkrtychyan * 22 2-2 0-0 5-7 1 0 2 0 0 9 10 -6.1
J. Scott 18 1-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
C. Sherwood 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -5.5
N. Blair 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
T. Egbert 7 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -2.1
N. George 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
P. Ingram 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Wright * 37 8-13 3-6 1-2 0 6 1 0 2 20 12 +6.7
M. Breunig * 34 6-10 0-0 10-18 6 2 1 0 1 22 20 +2.5
M. Oguine * 31 4-8 0-1 5-7 5 1 2 0 4 13 9 +6.5
F. Krslovic * 27 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 6 11 +6.4
J. Lopez * 25 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
M. Dunn 20 1-3 0-1 2-4 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 +3.7
B. Moorehead 17 5-5 3-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 13 10 +6.1
B. Gfeller 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -

* = starter