Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Hurricanes | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Mac * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| D. Reed * | 30 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +4.7 |
| A. Rodriguez * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | +5.0 |
| T. Jekiri * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4.5 |
| K. Murphy * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +4.9 |
| J. Newton | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| A. Lawrence II | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| I. Cruz Uceda | 13 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brogdon * | 37 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 10-11 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. Gill * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| I. Wilkins * | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | -0.1 |
| Dallin Hall * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Shayok | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -1.6 |
| D. Thompson | 17 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -0.5 |
| M. Tobey | 17 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +1.6 |
| E. Nolte | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter